FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 5, 2024 at 7.15pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Brentford1 - 1Wolves
The Match
Team News
Wolverhampton Wanderers make three changes for Friday's FA Cup third round tie against Brentford.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's FA Cup clash between Brentford and Wolverhampton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Crystal Palace 3-1 Brentford
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 3-0 Everton
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Brentford 1-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Brentford must cut out the defensive errors that have proven costly in recent weeks if they wish to claim a positive result against an in-form Wolves side, who will hope to deliver once again in the final third despite the absence of key man Hwang. A tighter affair could in store if both sides opt to make several changes, but the momentum is with a buoyant Wolves outfit nevertheless, and they should have enough strength in depth to outscore the Bees en route to booking their place in the fourth round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-2 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
Result | ||
Brentford | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
50.04% ( 0.07) | 23.54% ( -0.16) | 26.43% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 57.95% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.74% ( 0.83) | 43.26% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.34% ( 0.81) | 65.66% ( -0.8) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.6% ( 0.34) | 17.4% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.18% ( 0.58) | 47.82% ( -0.58) |
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.16% ( 0.52) | 29.84% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.07% ( 0.62) | 65.93% ( -0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Brentford 50.04%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 26.43%
Draw 23.53%
Brentford | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.23) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.86% Total : 50.04% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 26.43% |
How you voted: Brentford vs Wolves
Brentford
24.8%Draw
13.9%Wolverhampton Wanderers
61.2%165
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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