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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Brentford logo

Brighton
2 - 1
Brentford

Gross (31'), Hinshelwood (52')
Paul van Hecke (25'), Buonanotte (45+7'), Gilmour (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mbeumo (27' pen.)
Wissa (76')

The Match

Match Report

Jack Hinshelwood scores his first goal in senior football as Brighton & Hove Albion come from a goal down to beat Brentford 2-1 at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 3-1 Luton
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 67.04%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Brentford had a probability of 14.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Brentford win it was 1-2 (4.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
67.04% (-0.398 -0.4) 18.45% (0.176 0.18) 14.51% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 55.71% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.17% (-0.342 -0.34)36.83% (0.346 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.99% (-0.375 -0.38)59.01% (0.377 0.38)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.86% (-0.191 -0.19)10.14% (0.193 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.65% (-0.438 -0.44)33.35% (0.442 0.44)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62% (0.085000000000001 0.09)38% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23% (0.083000000000002 0.08)74.77% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 67.04%
    Brentford 14.51%
    Draw 18.45%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawBrentford
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.77% (0.025 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.82% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 7.7% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 4.4% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 4.26% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.6% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-0 @ 2.02% (-0.05 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.95% (-0.045 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.94% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 67.04%
1-1 @ 8.53% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.72% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.85% (0.065 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 4.13% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.73% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.52% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.33% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 14.51%

How you voted: Brighton vs Brentford

Brighton & Hove Albion
61.1%
Draw
30.9%
Brentford
8.0%
162
Head to Head
Jul 26, 2023 10.30pm
Club Friendlies
Brentford
0-2
Brighton

Onyeka (31'), Zanka (41')
Adingra (19', 58')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 29
Brighton
3-3
Brentford
Mitoma (21'), Welbeck (28'), Mac Allister (90' pen.)
Jansson (10'), Toney (22'), Pinnock (49')
Oct 14, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 11
Brentford
2-0
Brighton
Toney (27', 64' pen.)
Jul 26, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Brighton
0-1
Brentford
Toney (80')
Dec 26, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Brighton
2-0
Brentford
Trossard (34'), Maupay (42')
Webster (59')

Bech Sorensen (38'), Norgaard (45'), Toney (77')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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