MX23RW : Friday, January 17 19:47:50| >> :60:1013:1013:
Manchester City logo
Club Friendlies
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Chelsea logo

Man City
4 - 2
Chelsea

Haaland (4' pen., 5', 56'), Bobb (55')
McAtee (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sterling (59'), Madueke (89')
Caicedo (14'), Gusto (42'), Fernandez (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Manchester City and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up in their pre-season friendly with Chelsea.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Barcelona 2-2 Man City (4-1 pen.)
Wednesday, July 31 at 1.20am in Club Friendlies 1

Chelsea

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Manchester City 1-1 Chelsea

 These are such difficult matches to predict, especially with Man City missing so many of their important players. Guardiola's side were improved against Barcelona last time out, though, and we are backing a low-scoring draw between the two Premier League rivals here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 60.31%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 20.79% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (5.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
60.31% (-0.938 -0.94) 18.89% (0.101 0.1) 20.79% (0.839 0.84)
Both teams to score 67.91% (1.075 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.75% (0.77000000000001 0.77)27.25% (-0.767 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.19% (0.963 0.96)47.8% (-0.961 -0.96)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.98% (0.012 0.01)9.02% (-0.0101 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.28% (0.027000000000001 0.03)30.72% (-0.026 -0.03)
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64% (1.174 1.17)25.36% (-1.172 -1.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85% (1.584 1.58)60.15% (-1.581 -1.58)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 60.31%
    Chelsea 20.79%
    Draw 18.89%
Manchester CityDrawChelsea
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.62% (-0.308 -0.31)
1-0 @ 5.5% (-0.259 -0.26)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-2 @ 5% (0.109 0.11)
4-1 @ 4.38% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.19% (-0.145 -0.15)
4-2 @ 3.01% (0.068 0.07)
5-1 @ 2.11% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.069 -0.07)
5-2 @ 1.45% (0.033 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.37% (0.075 0.08)
Other @ 4.48%
Total : 60.31%
1-1 @ 7.55% (-0.095 -0.09)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.133 0.13)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.89%
1-2 @ 5.18% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.14% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.152 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.37% (0.126 0.13)
0-2 @ 2.15% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.052 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 20.79%

How you voted: Man City vs Chelsea

Manchester City
52.5%
Draw
12.9%
Chelsea
34.5%
139
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 5.15pm
Semi-Finals
Man City
1-0
Chelsea
Silva (84')
Alvarez (58'), Petrovic (86')

Caicedo (45'), Foden (82'), De Bruyne (86'), Fernandez (86')
> Match Report
Feb 17, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 25
Man City
1-1
Chelsea
Rodri (83')
Silva (85')
Sterling (42')
Caicedo (35'), Palmer (60'), Petrovic (62')
> Match Report
Nov 12, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 12
Chelsea
4-4
Man City
Silva (29'), Sterling (37'), Jackson (67'), Palmer (90+5' pen.)
Cucurella (21'), Palmer (23'), Caicedo (60'), Jackson (90+4'), Sterling (90+7'), Pochettino (90+11')
Haaland (25' pen., 47'), Akanji (45+1'), Rodri (86')
Doku (56'), Rodri (72'), Grealish (90+4')
> Match Report
May 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 37
Man City
1-0
Chelsea
Alvarez (12')

Havertz (18'), Fernandez (66')
> Match Report
Jan 8, 2023 4.30pm
Third Round
Man City
4-0
Chelsea
Mahrez (23', 85' pen.), Alvarez (30' pen.), Foden (38')
> Match Report
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