Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 59.63%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for South Shields had a probability of 19.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 1-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a South Shields win it was 1-2 (5.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.