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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.25% ( -2.53) | 25.39% ( -0.25) | 39.36% ( 2.78) |
Both teams to score 56.21% ( 0.74) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.42% ( 1.01) | 47.58% ( -1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.22% ( 0.93) | 69.78% ( -0.93) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% ( -0.95) | 26.15% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.78% ( -1.3) | 61.22% ( 1.3) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.11% ( 1.97) | 23.89% ( -1.97) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.91% ( 2.74) | 58.09% ( -2.74) |
Score Analysis |
Colchester United | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.6) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.57) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.33) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.12) Other @ 3.31% Total : 35.25% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.4) 0-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.37) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0.21) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.19) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.98% Total : 39.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 58 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 49 |
3 | Notts County | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 47 |
4 | Bradford CityBradford | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 38 | 27 | 11 | 47 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 35 | 24 | 11 | 47 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 45 |
7 | Port Vale | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 45 |
8 | Salford City | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 43 |
9 | Chesterfield | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 31 | 12 | 39 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 39 |
11 | MK Dons | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 38 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Bromley | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 35 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 35 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
16 | Swindon TownSwindon | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Gillingham | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 32 |
18 | BarrowBarrow | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 31 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 29 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 29 |
21 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 27 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 26 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 21 |
24 | Morecambe | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 20 |
> League Two Full Table |