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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Orsi (24'), Lolos (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

Considering how much is on the line for Crawley this weekend it is hard to imagine them slipping up and dropping any points here, which is why they should get the win. However, the recent form of both teams will certainly make this a trickier game than the hosts would like. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
39.7% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.23% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)53.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)56.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.7%
    Grimsby Town 36.23%
    Draw 24.06%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
61.5%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Grimsby Town
2-3
Crawley
Holohan (24'), Eisa (30')
Conteh (38')
Kelly (32'), Darcy (35'), Orsi (90+6')
Maguire (17')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Grimsby Town
Telford (87' pen.)
Clifton (42')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham209382218430
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
17BarrowBarrow196581818023
18Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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