Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 45.3%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.99%) and 2-0 (5.63%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.