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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
51.62% ( 1.6) | 23.61% ( -0.15) | 24.77% ( -1.45) |
Both teams to score 56.06% ( -0.95) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.99% ( -0.58) | 45.01% ( 0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.64% ( -0.56) | 67.36% ( 0.56) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.54% ( 0.39) | 17.46% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.07% ( 0.67) | 47.93% ( -0.67) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.91% ( -1.47) | 32.08% ( 1.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.44% ( -1.71) | 68.56% ( 1.71) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum |
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.42) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.77% Total : 51.62% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.61% Total : 24.77% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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