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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
VfL Bochum

Union Berlin
3 - 4
VfL Bochum

Vertessen (59'), Bedia (62'), Hollerbach (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Wittek (16', 31'), Schlotterbeck (37'), Hofmann (70')
Gamboa (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and VfL Bochum, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, April 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-2 Hoffenheim
Friday, April 26 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 VfL Bochum

Despite their struggles in recent matches, Sunday's visit of Bochum represents a massive opportunity for Union Berlin to move closer to Bundesliga survival. Die Unabsteigbaren are notoriously poor on their travels, therefore we cannot envisage Butscher's men earning anything from a trip to the capital this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.62%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
51.62% (1.604 1.6) 23.61% (-0.152 -0.15) 24.77% (-1.45 -1.45)
Both teams to score 56.06% (-0.945 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (-0.579 -0.58)45.01% (0.581 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (-0.56 -0.56)67.36% (0.562 0.56)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.54% (0.38900000000001 0.39)17.46% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.07% (0.67 0.67)47.93% (-0.669 -0.67)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.91% (-1.471 -1.47)32.08% (1.474 1.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.44% (-1.708 -1.71)68.56% (1.709 1.71)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 51.62%
    VfL Bochum 24.77%
    Draw 23.6%
Union BerlinDrawVfL Bochum
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.362 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.419 0.42)
3-1 @ 5.64% (0.125 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.96% (0.303 0.3)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.059 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.084 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.158 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 51.62%
1-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.139 0.14)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.172 -0.17)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.37% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.279 -0.28)
0-2 @ 3.62% (-0.208 -0.21)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.209 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.154 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.77%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs VfL Bochum

Union Berlin
72.9%
Draw
22.9%
VfL Bochum
4.2%
48
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
VfL Bochum
3-0
Union Berlin
Asano (45+5'), Paciencia (54'), Stoger (78' pen.)
Osterhage (20'), Stoger (90+1')

Khedira (42'), Bjelica (79'), Roussillon (85')
Apr 16, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 28
Union Berlin
1-1
VfL Bochum
Juranovic (45+3')
Stoger (55' pen.)
Oct 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
VfL Bochum
2-1
Union Berlin
Hofmann (43'), Holtmann (71')
Pantovic (90+3')
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
3-2
VfL Bochum
Promel (5'), Awoniyi (25' pen., 88')
Michel (44'), Trimmel (75'), Awoniyi (89')
Zoller (55'), Lowen (79')
Tesche (24'), Losilla (28')
Dec 18, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
VfL Bochum
0-1
Union Berlin

Masovic (20'), Soares (70')
Kruse (16')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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