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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 55.45%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (8.41%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
22.6% ( -7.46) | 21.95% ( 0.13) | 55.45% ( 7.34) |
Both teams to score 59.08% ( -8.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.2% ( -7.36) | 39.8% ( 7.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.84% ( -8.08) | 62.16% ( 8.09) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.92% ( -9.19) | 31.08% ( 9.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.6% ( -12.26) | 67.4% ( 12.27) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.71% ( -0.22) | 14.29% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.91% ( -0.43) | 42.09% ( 0.44) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 5.9% ( -1.07) 1-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 2.3% ( -1.23) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -1.23) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.62) Other @ 2.76% Total : 22.6% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( 0.92) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -1.09) 0-0 @ 4.44% ( 1.36) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.81) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.95% | 1-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.83) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 2.6) 0-2 @ 8.41% ( 2.49) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( 0.49) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( 1.58) 2-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.75) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( 0.22) 0-4 @ 2.65% ( 0.75) 2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.38) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.07) 0-5 @ 1.03% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.23% Total : 55.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 58 | 16 | 42 | 48 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 42 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 44 | 26 | 18 | 37 |
4 | Stuttgart | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 28 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 27 |
10 | Freiburg | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 27 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 26 |
12 | Augsburg | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 25 |
13 | St Pauli | 19 | 6 | 2 | 11 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 20 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 43 | -26 | 10 |
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