Club Friendlies 3
Aug 9, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Newcastle4 - 0Girona
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Yokohama 2-0 Newcastle
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
Saturday, August 3 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Newcastle United 2-1 Girona
Both Newcastle and Girona are expected to name relatively strong lineups in both halves of Friday's contest. Blanquivermells are in high spirits following last weekend's win over Napoli, but we expect the Magpies to bounce back from their most recent loss in Japan and come out on top in front of their home crowd. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Girona had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Girona |
43.5% ( -0.03) | 23.21% ( 0.01) | 33.29% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 63.59% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.24% ( -0.06) | 37.76% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40% ( -0.06) | 60% ( 0.06) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.19% ( -0.03) | 17.81% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.46% ( -0.06) | 48.54% ( 0.06) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.37% ( -0.02) | 22.63% ( 0.02) |