Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Granada had a probability of 13.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Granada win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Granada |
67.87% ( 0) | 18.23% ( 0) | 13.9% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% ( -0.04) | 37.19% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.39% ( 0.04) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.96% ( -0.01) | 10.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.89% ( -0.02) | 33.11% ( 0.02) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.93% ( -0.03) | 39.07% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.21% ( -0.04) | 75.79% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Granada |
2-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.94% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.56% 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.97% ( -0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 3.98% Total : 67.87% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.23% | 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.73% 2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 13.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |