Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 53.66%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.