MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:39:23| >> :60:329:329:
Parma logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
4 - 1
Atalanta

Man (6', 51'), Bonny (30'), Partipilo (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lookman (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Parma 1-1 Atalanta BC

 As Parma are further ahead in their preparations and have home advantage, the Serie A newcomers can hold their more established counterparts to a draw in this pre-season contest; Atalanta are still well short of match fitness. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
39.23% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 34.83% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.143 -0.14)50.01% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.127 -0.13)71.99% (0.125 0.13)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)25.04% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.289 -0.29)59.72% (0.286 0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089000000000006 0.09)63.06% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 39.23%
    Atalanta BC 34.83%
    Draw 25.93%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Parma vs Atalanta

Parma
18.8%
Draw
31.3%
Atalanta BC
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')

Cyprien (39')
> Preview
Jul 28, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')
> Preview
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Gervinho (8')
Scozzarella (76')
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')
rhs 2.0
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