MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 04:58:19| >> :120:3731:3731:
Parma logo
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
4 - 1
Atalanta

Man (6', 51'), Bonny (30'), Partipilo (78')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lookman (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly between Parma and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 1-0 Parma
Wednesday, July 31 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: AZ 2-2 Atalanta
Saturday, July 27 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Parma 1-1 Atalanta BC

As Parma are further ahead in their preparations and have home advantage, the Serie A newcomers can hold their more established counterparts to a draw in this pre-season contest; Atalanta are still well short of match fitness. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 39.23%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
39.23% (-0.26900000000001 -0.27) 25.93% (0.039000000000001 0.04) 34.83% (0.225 0.23)
Both teams to score 54.31% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.99% (-0.143 -0.14)50.01% (0.14 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.01% (-0.127 -0.13)71.99% (0.125 0.13)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.95% (-0.20700000000001 -0.21)25.04% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.28% (-0.289 -0.29)59.72% (0.286 0.29)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.45% (0.067999999999998 0.07)27.55% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.94% (0.089000000000006 0.09)63.06% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Parma 39.23%
    Atalanta BC 34.83%
    Draw 25.93%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.61% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 39.23%
1-1 @ 12.31% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.039 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 8.9% (0.068 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.73% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 34.83%

How you voted: Parma vs Atalanta

Parma
18.8%
Draw
31.3%
Atalanta BC
50.0%
16
Head to Head
May 9, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 35
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Brunetta (78'), Sohm (88')
Grassi (44')
Malinovskyi (12'), Pessina (52'), Muriel (77', 86'), Miranchuk (90+3')
Hateboer (72')
Jan 6, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 16
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Muriel (15'), Zapata (49'), Gosens (61')
Pessina (45')

Cyprien (39')
Jul 28, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 37
Parma
1-2
Atalanta
Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!