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Serie A | Gameweek 29
Jun 2, 2024 at 5pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Atalanta
2 - 3
Fiorentina

Lookman (12'), Scalvini (32')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Belotti (6', 45+1'), Gonzalez (19')
Martinez (75'), Ranieri (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 1-0 Fiorentina
Wednesday, May 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Fiorentina

Having returned to winning ways in Europe on Thursday, Atalanta are due a Serie A victory after four matches without one, with Gasperini's willingness to freshen his side possibly proving pivotal in Sunday's fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
39.05% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 26.25% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 34.7% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Both teams to score 53.21% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.6% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.4% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)73.21% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (0.063000000000002 0.06)25.78% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (0.088000000000001 0.09)60.73% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)28.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)64.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 39.05%
    Fiorentina 34.7%
    Draw 26.25%
Atalanta BCDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.89% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.46% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.7% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 39.05%
1-1 @ 12.48% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.21% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.81% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.7%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Fiorentina

Atalanta BC
80.6%
Draw
13.9%
Fiorentina
5.6%
216
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Atalanta
4-1
Fiorentina
Koopmeiners (8'), Scamacca (75'), Lookman (90+4'), Pasalic (90+8')
Kolasinac (56'), Scamacca (80')
Martinez (68')
Mandragora (43'), Dodo (69')
Milenkovic (53')
Apr 3, 2024 8pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Fiorentina
1-0
Atalanta
Mandragora (31')
Mandragora (55'), Kouame (81')

Miranchuk (29'), de Roon (78'), Scamacca (89')
Sep 17, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Fiorentina
3-2
Atalanta
Bonaventura (35'), Martinez (45'), Kouame (76')
Parisi (87')
Koopmeiners (20'), Lookman (53')
de Roon (34'), Zortea (65')
Apr 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Fiorentina
1-1
Atalanta
Cabral (56' pen.)
Maehle (37')
Oct 2, 2022 5pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan22156156193751
3Atalanta BCAtalanta23145449262347
4Juventus23913139201940
5Fiorentina22116537231439
6Lazio2212373830839
7Bologna2291033527837
8AC Milan229853324935
9Roma228683328530
10Udinese2385102836-829
11Torino236982427-327
12Genoa236892132-1126
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2372142648-2223
14Lecce2365121841-2323
15Como2357112738-1122
16Empoli2349102233-1121
17CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
18Parma2348112942-1320
19VeneziaVenezia2337132238-1616
20Monza2327142034-1413


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