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Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Ennio Tardini
Atalanta logo

Parma
1 - 2
Atalanta

Kulusevski (43')
Darmian (19'), Kucka (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Malinovskiy (70'), Papu (84')
Sutalo (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Parma and Atalanta BC, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Parma had a probability of 17.51%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.97%) and 0-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Parma win it was 2-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.

Result
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
17.51%19.45%63.04%
Both teams to score 59.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.47%35.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.42%57.58%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.47%33.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.83%70.17%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.23%10.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.22%34.78%
Score Analysis
    Parma 17.51%
    Atalanta BC 63.04%
    Draw 19.45%
ParmaDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 4.81%
1-0 @ 3.95%
2-0 @ 2.16%
3-2 @ 1.95%
3-1 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 17.51%
1-1 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 3.61%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.45%
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-2 @ 8.97%
0-1 @ 8.05%
1-3 @ 7.28%
0-3 @ 6.66%
1-4 @ 4.06%
2-3 @ 3.98%
0-4 @ 3.71%
2-4 @ 2.22%
1-5 @ 1.81%
0-5 @ 1.65%
2-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 63.04%

Head to Head
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 18
Atalanta
5-0
Parma
Papu (11'), Freuler (34'), Gosens (43'), Ilicic (60', 71')
Papu (29'), Freuler (70')

Barilla (8'), Pezzella (27'), Kucka (57'), Hernani (71')
Mar 31, 2019 11.30am
Gameweek 29
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
Pasalic (24'), Zapata (75', 90')
Castagne (58')
Oct 27, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 10
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
Gagliolo (55' og.), Luis Palomino (72'), Mancini (80')

Barilla (23'), Gagliolo (61')
Mar 8, 2015 2pm
Parma
0-0
Atalanta
Lucarelli (2'), Rodríguez (78')
Rodríguez (87')
D'Alessandro (56'), Pinilla (92')
Oct 19, 2014 2pm
Atalanta
1-0
Parma
Boakye (90')
Carmona (26'), Zappacosta (30')

Mendes (64'), Mauri (70'), Galloppa (93')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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