MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:09:29| >> :600:46261022:46261022:
Canada national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Group Stage
Jun 28, 2023 at 12am UK
BMO Field

Canada
2 - 2
Guadeloupe

Cavallini (49'), Laryea (70')
Cavallini (44'), Vitoria (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ambrose (23'), Russell-Rowe (90+3' og.)
Phaeton (62'), Gravillon (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between Canada and Guadeloupe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Canada

All competitions
Last Game: Canada 0-2 USA
Monday, June 19 at 1.30am in CONCACAF Nations League

Guadeloupe

All competitions
Last Game: Cuba 1-0 Guadeloupe
Sunday, March 26 at 9pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Canada 2-0 Guadeloupe

 While this is not the most talented Canadian squad, they still have plenty of quality available at this competition along with some raw talent, and we believe Guadeloupe will struggle in their build-up as many players on that squad have not competed at an event as big as this. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Guadeloupe had a probability of 21.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Guadeloupe win it was 0-1 (6.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
54.45% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 23.73% (0.0030000000000001 0) 21.81% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 52.09% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)48.55% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.022000000000002 0.02)70.68% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)17.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.61% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)48.38% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Guadeloupe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31% (0.045000000000002 0.05)36.69% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52% (0.047999999999998 0.05)73.47% (-0.049000000000007 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Canada 54.45%
    Guadeloupe 21.81%
    Draw 23.73%
CanadaDrawGuadeloupe
1-0 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.89% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 23.73%
0-1 @ 6.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.27% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.64% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 21.81%

How you voted: Canada vs Guadeloupe

Canada
84.3%
Draw
7.8%
Guadeloupe
7.8%
51
rhs 2.0
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