We said: Haiti 1-2 Qatar
The Haitians have plenty of quality individuals, but they have not played together as long as the Qatari squad, who have some equally potent attacking players to choose from, and we believe the Maroons' continuity will get them through this match.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Qatar had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.06%). The likeliest Qatar win was 1-2 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Haiti in this match.