Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Wales1 - 1Turkey
The Match
Match Report
Wales are forced to settle for a place in the Euro 2024 playoffs after being held to a 1-1 draw with Turkey, as well as Croatia beating Armenia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Armenia 1-1 Wales
Saturday, November 18 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, November 18 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.21%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wales | Draw | Turkey |
45.18% ( -0.02) | 24.63% ( -0.11) | 30.18% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 57.01% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.24% ( 0.52) | 45.76% ( -0.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.92% ( 0.5) | 68.08% ( -0.5) |
Wales Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.66% ( 0.21) | 20.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.26% ( 0.33) | 52.74% ( -0.34) |
Turkey Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.56% ( 0.34) | 28.43% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.81% ( 0.43) | 64.19% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Wales 45.18%
Turkey 30.18%
Draw 24.63%
Wales | Draw | Turkey |
2-1 @ 9.22% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.82% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.69% Total : 30.18% |
How you voted: Wales vs Turkey
Wales
25.3%Draw
16.7%Turkey
58.1%186
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-20 20:41:54
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
6 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 31 | 48 | -17 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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