MX23RW : Monday, January 6 05:29:30| >> :120:11730:11730:
Japan national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 1.20pm UK
Luminus Arena
Turkey national football team

Japan
4 - 2
Turkey

Ito (15'), Nakamura (28', 36'), Ito (78' pen.)
Nakamura (29'), Maikuma (43'), Kubo (45+5')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kabak (44'), Yildirim (61')
Soyuncu (44'), Ozcan (45+5'), Yuksek (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Japan and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 1-4 Japan
Saturday, September 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Turkey

All competitions
Last Game: Turkey 1-1 Armenia
Friday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Croatia4810
2Turkey5210
3Armenia517
4Wales5-17
5Latvia5-100

We said: Japan 1-0 Turkey

 After topping their World Cup group, Japan have continued to defy the odds in recent times, running out 4-1 winners away against Germany in their last match. Considering Turkey have also been in decent form, Tuesday's game could be close, but we expect the hosts to emerge as narrow winners. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Japan had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Japan win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Japan would win this match.

Result
JapanDrawTurkey
32.66%26.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 40.8% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.81% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)52.98% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (-0.032 -0.03)74.58% (0.033999999999992 0.03)
Japan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)30.39% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.42% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)66.58% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.43% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)25.57% (0.023 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.56% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)60.44% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Japan 32.66%
    Turkey 40.79%
    Draw 26.54%
JapanDrawTurkey
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 5.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 32.66%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.77% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.61% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 3.29% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 40.79%

How you voted: Japan vs Turkey

Japan
76.4%
Draw
12.5%
Turkey
11.1%
72
rhs 2.0
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