MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 16:12:55| >> :60:213:213:
Chile national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 17, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Sausalito
Dominican Republic national football team

Chile
5 - 0
Dominican Rep.

Brereton Diaz (11', 17', 25'), Barticciotto (45' pen., 58')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Reyes (43'), Garcia (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between Chile and Dominican Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Chile 3-0 Cuba
Monday, June 12 at 12am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 2-0 Belize
Monday, March 27 at 11pm in CONCACAF Nations League

We said: Chile 2-0 Dominican Republic

The Dominican Republic have improved noticeably this year but are yet to face an opponent with the sort of attacking prowess that Chile possesses, and while they are not expected to win this match, they will gain bags of experience that will be invaluable to their still relatively young squad for the future. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chile win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 13.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chile win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.97%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Dominican Republic win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chile would win this match.

Result
ChileDrawDominican Republic
64.88% (9.71 9.71) 21.36% (-3.671 -3.67) 13.76% (-6.038 -6.04)
Both teams to score 44.1% (-1.392 -1.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.76% (4.624 4.62)51.24% (-4.623 -4.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.92% (3.904 3.9)73.08% (-3.903 -3.9)
Chile Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.92% (5.148 5.15)15.08% (-5.146 -5.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.38% (8.947 8.95)43.62% (-8.945 -8.95)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.93% (-5.097 -5.1)48.07% (5.097 5.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72% (-4.013 -4.01)83.28% (4.014 4.01)
Score Analysis
    Chile 64.87%
    Dominican Republic 13.76%
    Draw 21.36%
ChileDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 13.71% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-0 @ 12.97% (1.87 1.87)
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.127 0.13)
3-0 @ 8.18% (2.267 2.27)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.998 1)
4-0 @ 3.87% (1.506 1.51)
4-1 @ 2.83% (0.838 0.84)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.085 0.09)
5-0 @ 1.46% (0.708 0.71)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.435 0.44)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.196 0.2)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 64.87%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-1.69 -1.69)
0-0 @ 7.25% (-1.443 -1.44)
2-2 @ 3.48% (-0.479 -0.48)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 21.36%
0-1 @ 5.31% (-2.032 -2.03)
1-2 @ 3.68% (-1.276 -1.28)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-1.156 -1.16)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 13.76%

How you voted: Chile vs Dominican Rep.

Chile
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Dominican Republic
7.7%
13
rhs 2.0
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