MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 23:54:33| >> :60:95:95:
China national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Beijing National Stadium
Myanmar national football team

China
4 - 0
Myanmar

Linpeng (29'), Liangming (35'), Lei (75', 81')
Sun (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lwin Maung (49'), Lin Hein (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between China and Myanmar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: New Zealand 2-1 China
Sunday, March 26 at 4am in International Friendlies
Last Game: Myanmar 1-1 Kyrgyzstan
Saturday, March 25 at 12.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: China 2-0 Myanmar

China will be motivated to return to winning ways after drawing one and losing one of their two friendlies against New Zealand in March, and we expect them to have too much for Myanmar on Friday. The visitors are one of the weakest nations in the AFC, with their winless streak of 15 matches surely set to be extended in Dalian. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a China win with a probability of 65.36%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Myanmar had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a China win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Myanmar win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that China would win this match.

Result
ChinaDrawMyanmar
65.36% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09) 20.31% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 14.33% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 48.72% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21% (-0.108 -0.11)45.79% (0.107 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (-0.101 -0.1)68.11% (0.101 0.1)
China Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)13.2% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.07% (-0.12 -0.12)39.93% (0.119 0.12)
Myanmar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.13% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)43.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.99% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)80.01%
Score Analysis
    China 65.35%
    Myanmar 14.33%
    Draw 20.31%
ChinaDrawMyanmar
2-0 @ 11.87%
1-0 @ 11.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.6% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.06% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.34% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.35% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 65.35%
1-1 @ 9.66% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.79% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 20.31%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.97% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.11%
1-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 14.33%

How you voted: China vs Myanmar

China
59.4%
Draw
18.8%
Myanmar
21.9%
32
Head to Head
May 26, 2018 12.35pm
International Friendlies
China
1-0
Myanmar
Lei (41')
rhs 2.0
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