We said: Egypt 1-1 Algeria
This should be a high-quality encounter between two of the best sides in Africa. While the visitors have put up better attacking numbers of late, Egypt's defence has been formidable, conceding just two goals in their last 10 matches. We expect a free-flowing match here but feel that these two African giants will end level at the full-time whistle.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Egypt win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Algeria had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Egypt win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for an Algeria win it was 0-1 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.