We said: Niger 0-2 Algeria
While Niger now have the home advantage, they are still no match for the very experienced and star-studded Algeria side, who have been imperious in the history of this fixture. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two nations, we fancy Belmadi's men coming out on top once again.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Algeria win with a probability of 66.29%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Niger had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Algeria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.27%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a Niger win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Algeria in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Algeria.
-0.37) 
0.13) 
