MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:15:43| >> :60:18:18:
Honduras national football team
International Friendly
Sep 28, 2022 at 2am UK
Estadio Tiburcio Carías Andino
Guatemala national football team

Honduras
2 - 1
Guatemala

Samayoa (70' og.), Solani (87')
Arriaga (30'), Nunez (76'), Solani (88')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lom (32')
Saravia (35'), Rodas (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Honduras and Guatemala, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Honduras

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Argentina 3-0 Honduras
Saturday, September 24 at 1am in International Friendlies

Guatemala

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 4-1 Guatemala
Sunday, September 25 at 1am in International Friendlies

We said: Honduras 1-1 Guatemala

 Regarding individual quality, the Hondurans seem to possess more than their opponents, but their backline is inexperienced and learning how to remain composed when under pressure, something they struggled with against Argentina last week. There may not be a lot of difference makers on Guatemala, but there are few teams in CONCACAF as committed to defending as they are, and lucky for them, La H are far from the most potent side in the region. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honduras would win this match.

Result
HondurasDrawGuatemala
38.09% (-0.196 -0.2) 26.09% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 35.82% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.89% (-0.30099999999999 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.387 -0.39)50.58% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.342 -0.34)72.5% (0.34399999999999 0.34)
Honduras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.06% (-0.288 -0.29)25.94% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.06% (-0.388 -0.39)60.94% (0.39100000000001 0.39)
Guatemala Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (-0.122 -0.12)27.23% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.34% (-0.15799999999999 -0.16)62.65% (0.16 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Honduras 38.09%
    Guatemala 35.82%
    Draw 26.08%
HondurasDrawGuatemala
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.76% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.89% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.039 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 0.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.112 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.59% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 35.82%

How you voted: Honduras vs Guatemala

Honduras
45.5%
Draw
18.2%
Guatemala
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2020 5pm
Guatemala
2-1
Honduras
Lom (24', 66' pen.)
Hernandez (17'), Barrientos (29')
Pineda (68' pen.)
Alfredo Lopez (70')
rhs 2.0
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