MX23RW : Tuesday, January 21 01:31:19| >> :60:1954:1954:
Madagascar national football team
Friendlies 3
Oct 17, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stade Al Bachir
Benin national football team

Madagascar
2 - 1
Benin

Tsiry (22'), Yves Razafindrakoto (52')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Coverage of the International Friendlies Friendlies 3 clash between Madagascar and Benin.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mauritania 2-1 Madagascar
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Sierra Leone 1-1 Benin
Saturday, October 14 at 4.30pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Madagascar win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Benin had a probability of 33.24% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Madagascar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Benin win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Madagascar would win this match.

Result
MadagascarDrawBenin
38.01% (0.067999999999998 0.07) 28.75% (-0.451 -0.45) 33.24% (0.381 0.38)
Both teams to score 45.39% (1.299 1.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.89% (1.558 1.56)61.11% (-1.559 -1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.92% (1.15 1.15)81.08% (-1.15 -1.15)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.95% (0.833 0.83)31.05% (-0.833 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.63% (0.963 0.96)67.37% (-0.965 -0.97)
Benin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.83% (1.1 1.1)34.17% (-1.102 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.14% (1.166 1.17)70.86% (-1.167 -1.17)
Score Analysis
    Madagascar 38%
    Benin 33.23%
    Draw 28.75%
MadagascarDrawBenin
1-0 @ 12.4% (-0.45 -0.45)
2-1 @ 7.79% (0.136 0.14)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.63% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 38%
1-1 @ 13.32% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 10.61% (-0.63 -0.63)
2-2 @ 4.18% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 11.39% (-0.33 -0.33)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.174 0.17)
0-2 @ 6.12% (0.011 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.56% (0.136 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.5% (0.111 0.11)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.23%

Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 4pm
Second Round
Benin
2-0
Madagascar
Dossou (43'), Mounie (79')
Verdon (39'), D'Almeida (63'), Dossou (76')

Fabrice Rakotondraibe (41'), Gladyson (90+1')
Sep 2, 2021 5pm
Second Round
Madagascar
0-1
Benin
Mounie (22')
Soukou (64'), (81')
rhs 2.0
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