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Angola national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 5pm UK
Estadio Nacional da Tundavala
Madagascar national football team

Angola
0 - 0
Madagascar

FT

Ilaimaharitra (71'), Rakotohasimbola (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Angola and Madagascar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Angola 4-2 Lesotho
Wednesday, July 12 at 2pm in COSAFA Cup
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Madagascar 0-0 Ghana
Sunday, June 18 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Angola 1-0 Madagascar

While Madagascar have nothing to play for, Angola head into Thursday needing all three points to guarantee their spot in Ivory Coast. The Black Sable Antelopes have been rock-solid on home turf and we are backing them to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Angola win with a probability of 68.96%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Madagascar had a probability of 10%.

The most likely scoreline for an Angola win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.79%) and 3-0 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.39%), while for a Madagascar win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
AngolaDrawMadagascar
68.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 21.04% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 10% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 34.63% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.11% (0.075000000000003 0.08)57.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.4% (0.058 0.06)78.6% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Angola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)15.98% (-0.025 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.71% (0.043000000000006 0.04)45.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Madagascar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.22% (0.083999999999996 0.08)58.78% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.98% (0.042 0.04)90.01% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Angola 68.95%
    Madagascar 10%
    Draw 21.04%
AngolaDrawMadagascar
1-0 @ 17.22% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04)
2-0 @ 15.79% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 9.65% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.13% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.36% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3%
Total : 68.95%
0-0 @ 9.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-1 @ 9.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 2.23% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.04%
0-1 @ 4.99% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 2.43% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 10%

How you voted: Angola vs Madagascar

Angola
80.8%
Draw
19.2%
Madagascar
0.0%
26
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 2pm
Group Stage
Madagascar
1-1
Angola
Gelson (43')
Cafumana (37'), N'Zola (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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