MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 12:32:15| >> :60:851:851:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Sep 28, 2022 at 3am UK
Soldier Field
Colombia national football team

Mexico
2 - 3
Colombia

Vega (6' pen.), Arteaga (29')
Moreno (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Sinisterra (49', 52'), Barrios (68')
Carrascal (57'), Barrios (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 1-0 Peru
Sunday, September 25 at 2am in International Friendlies

Colombia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Colombia 4-1 Guatemala
Sunday, September 25 at 1am in International Friendlies
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Mexico 0-2 Colombia

 There is a load of experience on both sides, but the Colombians seem to be in better form at the moment, while Mexico have not looked comfortable or creative when on the ball in recent outings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Colombia would win this match.

Result
MexicoDrawColombia
42.86% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 25.34% (0.0039999999999978 0) 31.8% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 55.43% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.17% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)22.41% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.08% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)55.93% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.023999999999987 0.02)28.56% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.027000000000001 0.03)64.35% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 42.87%
    Colombia 31.8%
    Draw 25.33%
MexicoDrawColombia
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 42.87%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.52% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.03% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.14% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 31.8%

How you voted: Mexico vs Colombia

Mexico
40.3%
Draw
10.8%
Colombia
48.9%
139
Head to Head
May 29, 2020 11pm
Mexico
P-P
Colombia
rhs 2.0
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