MX23RW : Monday, January 13 06:46:14| >> :60:69:69:
Mexico national football team
International Friendly
Sep 25, 2022 at 2am UK
Soldier Field
Peru national football team

Mexico
1 - 0
Peru

Lozano (85')
Alvarez (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Zambrano (62'), Pena (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Peru, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Mexico 0-1 Paraguay
Thursday, September 1 at 2am in International Friendlies

Peru

Last Six:
Comp:
Last Game: Australia 0-0 Peru (5-4 pen.)
Monday, June 13 at 7pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1Brazil4810
2Peru4-27
3Colombia4-14
4Ecuador4-13
5Venezuela4-42

We said: Mexico 0-0 Peru

 We believe that Mexico have a lot more quality than the Peruvians on paper, but the Gold Cup runners-up have lacked consistency and quality in the final third. On the other side, La Blanquirroja are well organized at the back, and that composure, along with an experienced shot stopper, should be enough to keep El Tri at bay, though we do not anticipate the Peruvians will create much themselves in the attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 50.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Peru had a probability of 24.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Peru win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Mexico in this match.

Result
MexicoDrawPeru
50.79% (-0.338 -0.34) 24.92% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.29% (0.344 0.34)
Both teams to score 51.36% (0.363 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.02% (0.299 0.3)50.98% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.15% (0.264 0.26)72.85% (-0.258 -0.26)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.92% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.08% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.69% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)52.31% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.472 0.47)35.75% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.48 0.48)72.52% (-0.47399999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 50.79%
    Peru 24.29%
    Draw 24.92%
MexicoDrawPeru
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.25% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-1 @ 5.09% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.95% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.99% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 50.79%
1-1 @ 11.85%
0-0 @ 7.18% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
Other @ 1%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.1% (0.078 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.053 0.05)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 24.29%

How you voted: Mexico vs Peru

Mexico
53.2%
Draw
19.4%
Peru
27.4%
124
rhs 2.0
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