MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 14:06:46| >> :60:468:468:
Mexico national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 16, 2024 at 3.30am UK
Soldier Field
USA national football team

Mexico
2 - 0
USA

Jimenez (22'), Huerta (49')
Aguirre (26'), Zendejas (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morris (34'), Alvarez (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between Mexico and USA, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 0-0 Canada
Wednesday, September 11 at 2am in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 2-0 Panama
Sunday, October 13 at 2am in International Friendlies
Current Group C Standings P GD PTS
1Uruguay389
2Panama316
3USA303
4Bolivia3-90

We said: Mexico 1-2 USA

USA have certainly had the better of the recent meetings between the two sides, with Mexico struggling for goals in their last few encounters. We are backing Mexico to give their supporters something to cheer on Tuesday night, but we fancy USA to put another victory on the board under Pochettino. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 47.32%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest Mexico win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
MexicoDrawUSA
26.4% (-0.17 -0.17) 26.27% (0.292 0.29) 47.32% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.26% (-0.992 -0.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (-1.224 -1.22)54.67% (1.222 1.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (-1.027 -1.03)76% (1.024 1.02)
Mexico Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.06% (-0.80500000000001 -0.81)35.94% (0.802 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.28% (-0.829 -0.83)72.71% (0.82599999999999 0.83)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.577 -0.58)23.1% (0.574 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.853 -0.85)56.95% (0.85100000000001 0.85)
Score Analysis
    Mexico 26.4%
    USA 47.32%
    Draw 26.26%
MexicoDrawUSA
1-0 @ 8.5% (0.217 0.22)
2-1 @ 6.37% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.35% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.59% (-0.085 -0.09)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 26.4%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.3% (0.387 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.67% (-0.142 -0.14)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 26.26%
0-1 @ 12.16% (0.37 0.37)
1-2 @ 9.12% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 8.91% (0.121 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.46% (-0.114 -0.11)
0-3 @ 4.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.071 -0.07)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.32%

How you voted: Mexico vs USA

Mexico
33.3%
Draw
29.8%
USA
36.9%
84
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2024 1.15am
Final
Mexico
0-2
USA

Vasquez (55'), Alvarez (58'), Uriel (63'), Gimenez (74')
Adams (45'), Reyna (63')
McKennie (27')
Jun 16, 2023 3am
Semi-Finals
USA
3-0
Mexico
Pulisic (37', 46'), Pepi (78')
Robinson (60'), Robinson (63'), Richards (86'), Pulisic (89')
McKennie (71'), Dest (85')

Uriel (36'), Reyes (59'), Gimenez (60'), Alvarez (85'), Ochoa (86')
Montes (69'), Arteaga (85')
Apr 20, 2023 3am
Friendlies 1
USA
1-1
Mexico
Ferreira (81')
Uriel (55')
Mar 25, 2022 2am
Third Round
Mexico
0-0
USA
Nov 13, 2021 2.10am
Third Round
USA
2-0
Mexico
Pulisic (74'), McKennie (85')
Robinson (59'), Steffen (68'), McKennie (68')
Robinson (89')

Romo (45+1'), Rodriguez (68')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Manchester CityMan City168352823527
6Bournemouth167452421325
7Aston Villa167452425-125
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255


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