MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:17:02| >> :60:201:201:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 13, 2024 at 12am UK
Camping World Stadium
Brazil national football team

USA
1 - 1
Brazil

Pulisic (26')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodrygo (17')
Gomes (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between USA and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Brazil could line up for Thursday's friendly clash with the USA.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-5 Colombia
Saturday, June 8 at 10.30pm in International Friendlies

Brazil

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Brazil
Sunday, June 9 at 2am in International Friendlies

We said: USA 1-3 Brazil

 USA boss Berhalter will naturally demand a response from his players following last weekend's disappointing result, but they will enter Thursday's contest against five-time world champions Brazil as underdogs, even if the South American giants opt to rest a few star names. Brazil have looked a little shaky at the back since Dorival's appointment, so that should provide USA with some hope, but we still expect the Selecao to outscore their opponents and enter the 2024 Copa America on a high. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 50.04%. A win for Brazil had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Brazil win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
USADrawBrazil
50.04% (-2.231 -2.23) 24.82% (0.672 0.67) 25.13% (1.558 1.56)
Both teams to score 52.52% (-0.462 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.14% (-1.41 -1.41)49.85% (1.408 1.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.15% (-1.273 -1.27)71.85% (1.272 1.27)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.06% (-1.435 -1.44)19.93% (1.433 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.91% (-2.365 -2.37)52.08% (2.362 2.36)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (0.587 0.59)34.39% (-0.588 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (0.622 0.62)71.1% (-0.624 -0.62)
Score Analysis
    USA 50.04%
    Brazil 25.14%
    Draw 24.82%
USADrawBrazil
1-0 @ 11.05% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.161 -0.16)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.327 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4.79% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.128 -0.13)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.253 -0.25)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 50.04%
1-1 @ 11.8% (0.33 0.33)
0-0 @ 6.86% (0.384 0.38)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.32% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 6.3% (0.274 0.27)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.335 0.34)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.131 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.81% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.139 0.14)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 25.14%

How you voted: USA vs Brazil

USA
15.0%
Draw
9.4%
Brazil
75.6%
160
Head to Head
Sep 8, 2018 1am
International Friendlies
USA
0-2
Brazil
Firmino (11'), Neymar (43' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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