MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:09:02| >> :60:468:468:
Netherlands national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Scotland national football team

Netherlands
4 - 0
Scotland

Reijnders (40'), Wijnaldum (72'), Weghorst (84'), Malen (86')
Depay (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McTominay (9'), McGinn (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Netherlands and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Last Game: Gibraltar 0-6 Netherlands
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Scotland

All competitions
Last Game: Scotland 3-3 Norway
Sunday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250

We said: Netherlands 3-2 Scotland

 Three or more goals have been scored in eight of the last 10 international matches involving Scotland, while the Netherlands have found the net in each of their last eight fixtures, so goals could be on the cards in Amsterdam. It remains to be seen how strong both nations will line up for this contest, but the Netherlands should ultimately have enough quality within their ranks to come away with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 61.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawScotland
61.32% (-0.143 -0.14) 21.6% (0.077000000000002 0.08) 17.07% (0.067 0.07)
Both teams to score 50.88% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.84% (-0.211 -0.21)46.16% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.54% (-0.201 -0.2)68.46% (0.20100000000001 0.2)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.45% (-0.114 -0.11)14.55% (0.115 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.41% (-0.22000000000001 -0.22)42.59% (0.221 0.22)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)40.45% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.94% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)77.06% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 61.32%
    Scotland 17.07%
    Draw 21.59%
NetherlandsDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 7.03% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.39% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 61.32%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.88% (0.053 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 21.59%
0-1 @ 5.33% (0.041 0.04)
1-2 @ 4.65% (0.011 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Scotland

Netherlands
70.4%
Draw
11.1%
Scotland
18.5%
135
Head to Head
Jun 2, 2021 7.45pm
Friendlies 1
Netherlands
2-2
Scotland
Depay (17', 89')
de Ligt (42')
Hendry (11'), Nisbet (64')
> Match Report
Nov 9, 2017 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Scotland
0-1
Netherlands

McGinn (64')
Depay (40')
Strootman (74')
rhs 2.0
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