MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:43:10| >> :600:3360264:3360264:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Netherlands national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Philips Stadion
Greece national football team

Netherlands
3 - 0
Greece

de Roon (17'), Gakpo (31'), Weghorst (39')
Ake (43'), van Dijk (90+1')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Siopis (11'), Tsimikas (44'), Kourbelis (68'), Mantalos (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Netherlands and Greece, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how the Netherlands could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Netherlands 2-3 Italy
Sunday, June 18 at 2pm in Nations League

Greece

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: France 1-0 Greece
Monday, June 19 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Netherlands 2-2 Greece

 Following an underwhelming start to 2023, the pressure is on the Netherlands to find their form and come out on top in what, on paper, is considered a favourable-looking fixture at home against Greece. However, considering that the Oranje are missing a few key players and have shown signs of defensive frailties under Koeman, Greece could spring a surprise and claim a hard-fought point in an entertaining contest in Eindhoven to shake up Group B. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Greece had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Greece win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Netherlands would win this match.

Result
NetherlandsDrawGreece
42.12% (-1.631 -1.63) 26.73% (0.304 0.3) 31.15% (1.328 1.33)
Both teams to score 50.71% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.708 -0.71)54.16% (0.71 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.596 -0.6)75.57% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Netherlands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.59% (-1.14 -1.14)25.41% (1.144 1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.78% (-1.588 -1.59)60.22% (1.592 1.59)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.98% (0.587 0.59)32.02% (-0.586 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.52% (0.664 0.66)68.49% (-0.66200000000001 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Netherlands 42.12%
    Greece 31.15%
    Draw 26.72%
NetherlandsDrawGreece
1-0 @ 11.14% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.297 -0.3)
3-1 @ 3.97% (-0.225 -0.23)
3-0 @ 3.49% (-0.257 -0.26)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 42.12%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.14 0.14)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.223 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.72%
0-1 @ 9.27% (0.398 0.4)
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.192 0.19)
0-2 @ 5.28% (0.307 0.31)
1-3 @ 2.74% (0.116 0.12)
0-3 @ 2% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.15%

How you voted: Netherlands vs Greece

Netherlands
65.0%
Draw
23.4%
Greece
11.7%
137
Head to Head
May 28, 2020 6.30pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
P-P
Greece
Sep 1, 2016 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Netherlands
1-2
Greece
Wijnaldum (14')
Berghuis (75')
Mitroglou (29'), Gianniotas (74')
Manolas (10')
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