MX23RW : Monday, January 20 18:52:02| >> :60:37:37:
Poland national football team
Friendlies 1
Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Latvia national football team

Poland
2 - 0
Latvia

Frankowski (7'), Lewandowski (48')
Bednarek (33'), Swiderski (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Uldrikis (26'), Cernomordijs (75'), Oss (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Poland and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Czech Republic
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Latvia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Latvia 0-2 Croatia
Saturday, November 18 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey7716
2Croatia7813
3Wales7011
4Armenia7-18
5Latvia8-143

We said: Poland 3-0 Latvia

 Amid two managerial alterations, Poland's on-field activities have left something to be desired in 2023, but the Eagles will surely close out a challenging year on a high note. Barring one success over Armenia, performances and goals have been hard to come by for Latvia in recent months, and even if Probierz does shuffle his resources, Poland should emerge triumphant in routine fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
PolandDrawLatvia
64.24% (-0.217 -0.22) 22.11% (0.11 0.11) 13.65% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.78% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-0.204 -0.2)54.26% (0.203 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-0.168 -0.17)75.66% (0.16800000000001 0.17)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.68% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)16.32% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.1% (-0.261 -0.26)45.9% (0.261 0.26)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.92% (0.042999999999999 0.04)50.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.29% (0.029 0.03)84.71% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Poland 64.23%
    Latvia 13.65%
    Draw 22.11%
PolandDrawLatvia
1-0 @ 14.81% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 13.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 8.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.33% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 64.23%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.065 0.06)
2-2 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.11%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.052 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.54% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.65%

How you voted: Poland vs Latvia

Poland
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Latvia
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Latvia
0-3
Poland

Maksimenko (52')
Lewandowski (9', 13', 76')
Oct 10, 2019
7.45pm
Third Round
Latvia  
L
vs.
P
   Poland
Lewandowski (9', 13')
Mar 24, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Poland
2-0
Latvia
Lewandowski (76'), Glik (84')
Piatek (25'), Kedziora (69')

Dubra (18'), Maksimenko (53'), Ikaunieks (74')
rhs 2.0
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