Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2024 at 4pm UK
Tofiq Bahramov adina Respublika stadionu (Baki (Baku))
Azerbaijan1 - 1Bulgaria
Form, Standings, Stats
International Friendlies
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-0 Mongolia
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Belgium | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Austria | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Sweden | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Azerbaijan | 8 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Estonia | 8 | -20 | 1 |
International Friendlies
Last Game: Tanzania 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies
Friday, March 22 at 1pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
We said: Azerbaijan 1-1 Bulgaria
Despite a narrow win against huge minnows on Friday, Azerbaijan were still dominant and will fancy their chances against out-of-form opponents here, especially after a respectable Euro qualifying campaign. A first win in 18 months against Tanzania will hardly raise spirits too much for a nation stagnating and struggling greatly for form, and a draw here would likely be perceived as a very good result for Bulgaria. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Azerbaijan win with a probability of 47.66%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bulgaria had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Azerbaijan win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Bulgaria win it was 0-1 (8.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Azerbaijan | Draw | Bulgaria |
47.66% ( 0.05) | 26.42% ( -0) | 25.93% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.47% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
