MX23RW : Tuesday, December 31 00:14:26| >> :600:6756940:6756940:
Euro 2020 header take 8

Euro 2024
Serbia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Rajko Mitic
Montenegro national football team

Serbia
3 - 1
Montenegro

Mitrovic (9', 74'), Tadic (77')
Gudelj (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jovetic (36')
Savic (58'), Jovovic (88'), Tomasevic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying clash between Serbia and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Serbia

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Hungary 2-1 Serbia
Saturday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Montenegro

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Montenegro 3-2 Lebanon
Thursday, October 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Serbia 2-1 Montenegro

 A loss to Hungary means Serbia can no longer afford to drop points if they want to qualify for Euro 2024 next summer. Montenegro have been solid defensively so far in qualifying and could make life difficult for the likes of Aleksandar Mitrovic and Tadic, but at the end of the day they should have too much offensive talent for the visitors to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Montenegro win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
SerbiaDrawMontenegro
50.91% (-0.811 -0.81) 25.69% (0.165 0.16) 23.4% (0.653 0.65)
Both teams to score 48.16% (0.259 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.29% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)54.71% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.97% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)76.04% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Serbia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.354 -0.35)21.53% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.41% (-0.54900000000001 -0.55)54.59% (0.554 0.55)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.38% (0.608 0.61)38.63% (-0.601 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.572 0.57)75.37% (-0.566 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    Serbia 50.91%
    Montenegro 23.4%
    Draw 25.68%
SerbiaDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 12.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 9.81% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.071000000000001 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 50.91%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 8.32% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.68%
0-1 @ 7.91% (0.139 0.14)
1-2 @ 5.78% (0.133 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.126 0.13)
1-3 @ 1.83% (0.071 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.04 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.19% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 23.4%

How you voted: Serbia vs Montenegro

Serbia
78.3%
Draw
12.0%
Montenegro
9.6%
83
Head to Head
Mar 27, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Montenegro
0-2
Serbia
Vlahovic (78', 90+5')
> Preview
Nov 17, 2018 2pm
League Phase
Serbia
2-1
Montenegro
Ljajic (30'), Mitrovic (32')
Gacinovic (61'), Matic (88')
Mugosa (70')
Mugosa (5'), Simic (36'), Kopitovic (47'), Jankovic (76')
Oct 11, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Montenegro
0-2
Serbia

Stojkovic (18'), Vukcevic (63'), Jankovic (77')
Mitrovic (18' pen., 81')
Lukic (31'), Tadic (36')
rhs 2.0
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