MX23RW : Saturday, January 11 22:19:31| >> :60:1314:1314:
San Marino national football team
International Friendly
Jun 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Iceland national football team

San Marino
0 - 1
Iceland


Palazzi (6'), Zafferani (43'), D'Addario (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's International Friendlies clash between San Marino and Iceland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Malta vs. San Marino
Sunday, June 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: Iceland vs. Israel
Monday, June 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: San Marino 0-4 Iceland

Although Iceland have struggled in recent times, we think that they will prove too strong for San Marino, and we expect the visitors to cruise to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 23.97% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.69%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.

Result
San MarinoDrawIceland
23.97% (0.0040000000000013 0) 21.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 54.37% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 61.91% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.14% (0.021999999999998 0.02)36.87% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.96% (0.024000000000001 0.02)59.04% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.68% (0.015000000000001 0.02)28.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.95% (0.016000000000005 0.02)64.05% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Iceland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)13.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.21% (0.015999999999998 0.02)40.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    San Marino 23.97%
    Iceland 54.37%
    Draw 21.67%
San MarinoDrawIceland
2-1 @ 6.12%
1-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 23.97%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.86% (-0.004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 21.67%
1-2 @ 9.67%
0-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.67% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 4.05% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 3.2% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 2.54%
2-4 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-5 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 54.37%

How you voted: San Marino vs Iceland

San Marino
16.0%
Draw
0.0%
Iceland
84.0%
25
rhs 2.0
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