Nations League | League D
Jun 5, 2022 at 2pm UK
We said: San Marino 0-2 Malta
Malta may not be the most impressive of opponents to visit San Marino, and they may struggle on their travels, but it is unlikely that they will slip up here.
The odds are always heavily stacked against the hosts in any occasion, and Sunday's Nations League clash looks unlikely to spring too many surprises here.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 49.55% . A win for San Marino had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.8%) . The likeliest San Marino win was 2-1 (6.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Malta in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Malta.
Result San Marino Draw Malta 26.9% ( -0.02) 23.55% ( 0.01) 49.55% ( 0.02)
Both teams to score 58.33% ( -0.04)
57.04% ( -0.04) 42.96% ( 0.04)
34.64% ( -0.04) 65.36% ( 0.04)
70.67% ( -0.03) 29.33% ( 0.04)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 34.7% ( -0.04) 65.3% ( 0.04)
82.53% ( -0.01) 17.47% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 52.06% ( -0.02) 47.94% ( 0.02)
San Marino 26.9%
Malta 49.55%
Draw 23.55%
San Marino Draw Malta 2-1 @ 6.72% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.85% 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 26.9% 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.8% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.54% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.55%
How you voted: San Marino vs Malta
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rhs 2.0
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