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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Malta national football team
Nations League | League D
Jun 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
 
San Marino national football team

Malta
1 - 0
San Marino

Muscat (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lunadei (67'), Battistini (86'), Rossi (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Malta and San Marino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malta

Last Six:
Last Game: Malta 1-2 Estonia
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in Nations League

San Marino

Last Six:
Last Game: San Marino 0-1 Iceland
Thursday, June 9 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Malta 2-0 San Marino

 Although Malta are not the most formidable side to face the minnows of San Marino, they remain huge favourites to come out with a comfortable victory on Sunday. There are no signs to suggest that the hosts will struggle in their task, and we are going for a repeat of the 2-0 scoreline earned away from home against their opponents on June 5. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for San Marino had a probability of 27.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malta win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest San Marino win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malta would win this match.

Result
MaltaDrawSan Marino
50.8% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 22.09% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 27.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.74% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.1% (0.027000000000001 0.03)35.9% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.01% (0.030000000000001 0.03)57.99% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Malta Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.57% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.43% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.63% (0.012999999999998 0.01)42.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
San Marino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5% (0.019000000000005 0.02)25.5% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (0.027999999999999 0.03)60.35% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Malta 50.8%
    San Marino 27.1%
    Draw 22.09%
MaltaDrawSan Marino
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 4.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 4.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
4-1 @ 2.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.01% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.8%
1-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 3.68% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.89% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.09%
1-2 @ 6.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 27.1%

How you voted: Malta vs San Marino

Malta
87.2%
Draw
4.3%
San Marino
8.5%
47
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2022 2pm
League D2
San Marino
0-2
Malta

Rossi (62'), Golinucci (63')
Busuttil (59'), Guillaumier (75')
Mbong (15'), Satariano (45+3'), Paiber (80')
rhs 2.0
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