MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:20:48| >> :60:1604:1604:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Costa Rica national football team

Saudi Arabia
1 - 3
Costa Rica

FT(HT: 0-2)
Calvo (12'), Ugalde (32'), Leal (89')
Acuna Murillo (15'), Valverde (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and Costa Rica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-2 Bolivia
Tuesday, March 28 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Costa Rica
Sunday, July 9 at 3.10am in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We said: Saudi Arabia 1-1 Costa Rica

We see these two nations on a relatively level playing field, and while Costa Rica may have a slight edge in quality and international experience, Saudi Arabia will be keen to kick on under Mancini's management and we see them avoiding defeat at St James' Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawCosta Rica
41.76% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 28.28% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 29.95% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 45.72% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.016000000000005 0.02)60.24% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.012 0.01)80.42% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.56% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)28.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.8% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.2% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Costa Rica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.89% (0.024000000000001 0.02)36.11% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02)72.89% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 41.76%
    Costa Rica 29.95%
    Draw 28.27%
Saudi ArabiaDrawCosta Rica
1-0 @ 12.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.27%
2-0 @ 8.12% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.77% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.09%
4-0 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 41.76%
1-1 @ 13.15%
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 28.27%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.33% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.95%

How you voted: Saudi Arabia vs Costa Rica

Saudi Arabia
63.2%
Draw
26.3%
Costa Rica
10.5%
38
rhs 2.0
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