MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 10:37:43| >> :60:5:5:
Croatia national football team
International Friendly
Nov 16, 2022 at 12pm UK
 
Saudi Arabia national football team

Croatia
0 - 1
Saudi Arabia

FT(HT: 0-0)
Kramaric (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Croatia and Saudi Arabia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Croatia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Austria 1-3 Croatia
Sunday, September 25 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Saudi Arabia

All competitions
Last Game: Panama 1-1 Saudi Arabia
Thursday, November 10 at 12pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 0-2 Croatia

 Saudi Arabia have demonstrated defensive acumen and a lack of ruthlessness in equal measure in recent months, and the latter should prove costly against an in-form Croatia XI. Both managers may avoid risking their biggest stars for long periods this week, but the Chequered Ones should still have no trouble getting the job done before the big one begins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.29%) and 2-3 (5.06%). The likeliest Croatia win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.

Result
CroatiaDrawSaudi Arabia
36.43% (0.019999999999996 0.02) 20.65% (0.0040000000000013 0) 42.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 74.59% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.09% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)23.9% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
56.52% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)43.47% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.23% (0.0010000000000048 0)14.77% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)43.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.012 -0.01)12.48% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)38.46% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Croatia 36.43%
    Saudi Arabia 42.91%
    Draw 20.65%
CroatiaDrawSaudi Arabia
2-1 @ 7.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66%
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 3.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 3.37% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 2.14% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-3 @ 1.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 7.34% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 7.3%
3-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.65%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 5.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.99%
0-1 @ 3.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 2.77% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 2.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-4 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.15% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 42.91%

How you voted: Croatia vs Saudi Arabia

Croatia
79.9%
Draw
11.5%
Saudi Arabia
8.6%
139
rhs 2.0
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