Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 25.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.