MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 12:59:07| >> :60:9:9:
Slovenia national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 4, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Armenia national football team

Slovenia
2 - 1
Armenia

Mlakar (11'), Ilicic (63')
Horvat (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Haroyan (56')
Haroyan (53'), Spertsyan (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Slovenia and Armenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovenia 2-0 Portugal
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Armenia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Czech Republic 2-1 Armenia
Tuesday, March 26 at 7pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

We said: Slovenia 3-0 Armenia

 Potentially one of the surprise packages of Euro 2024, the Sesko-inspired Slovenia should run into few obstacles against an out-of-sorts Armenia side on Tuesday evening. The visitors are rarely blown away, but that could all change in Ljubljana, where Kek's side have our vote to storm to a confidence-boosting success. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 65.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Armenia had a probability of 13.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.68%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Armenia win it was 0-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.

Result
SloveniaDrawArmenia
65.28% (-1.695 -1.7) 20.92% (0.826 0.83) 13.79% (0.863 0.86)
Both teams to score 45.46% (-0.196 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-1.559 -1.56)49.43% (1.552 1.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-1.42 -1.42)71.47% (1.413 1.41)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.63% (-1.008 -1.01)14.37% (1 1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.75% (-1.981 -1.98)42.24% (1.975 1.98)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.09% (0.387 0.39)46.9% (-0.395 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.58% (0.291 0.29)82.41% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 65.27%
    Armenia 13.79%
    Draw 20.92%
SloveniaDrawArmenia
1-0 @ 13.07% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 12.68% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.2% (-0.384 -0.38)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.219 -0.22)
4-0 @ 3.98% (-0.342 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.01% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.056 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.195 -0.2)
5-1 @ 1.17% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 65.27%
1-1 @ 9.9% (0.373 0.37)
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.417 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.92%
0-1 @ 5.1% (0.368 0.37)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.181 0.18)
0-2 @ 1.93% (0.159 0.16)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.055 0.05)
2-3 @ 0.92% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.79%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Armenia

Slovenia
74.7%
Draw
12.6%
Armenia
12.6%
87
rhs 2.0
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