Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Windsor Park
N. Ireland0 - 1Slovenia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: N. Ireland 3-0 San Marino
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
Last Game: Slovenia 3-0 Finland
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Saturday, October 14 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 7 | 10 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 7 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Finland | 7 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 7 | -1 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 7 | -24 | 0 |
We said: Northern Ireland 1-2 Slovenia
Defences did not come out on top when Northern Ireland and Slovenia locked horns a few weeks ago, and a similar tale should unfold in Belfast, where the visitors have a lot more to fight for than the Green and White Army. Doubts over Sesko's condition could harm Slovenia's prospects of back-to-back wins over Northern Ireland, but the visitors have found goals from numerous sources in qualifying and should fight fire with even more fire to maintain their top-two standing. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 47.01%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Slovenia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Slovenia |
47.01% ( 2.71) | 29.24% ( -0.57) | 23.75% ( -2.14) |
| Both teams to score 39.5% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
