Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Wales2 - 1Croatia
The Match
Match Report
Harry Wilson scores twice as an impressive Wales record a 2-1 victory over Croatia in Sunday evening's Euro 2024 qualification fixture.
Team News
Robert Page makes six changes for Wales' crucial Euro 2024 qualifier against Croatia in Cardiff.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Wales and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wales 4-0 Gibraltar
Wednesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Wednesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Wales win was 1-0 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wales | Draw | Croatia |
33.38% ( 0.13) | 27.56% ( -0.03) | 39.07% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 48.87% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
