MX23RW : Monday, December 30 20:35:12| >> :60:48:48:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Ghana national football team

USA
4 - 0
Ghana

Reyna (10', 39'), Pulisic (19' pen.), Balogun (22')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Addo (30'), Partey (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's friendly clash between USA and Ghana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 1-3 Germany
Saturday, October 14 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Ghana

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Mexico 2-0 Ghana
Sunday, October 15 at 2am in International Friendlies

We said: USA 1-0 Ghana

 Throughout the year, Ghana have struggled to maintain a high level of consistency as their current generation is getting older and lacking an influential player with outstanding attacking qualities, something the Americans have in abundance and something we think will tip the scales in their favour come Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 58.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 17.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.

Result
USADrawGhana
58.33% (0.317 0.32) 23.79% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 17.88% (-0.373 -0.37)
Both teams to score 45.89% (-0.804 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.32% (-0.72499999999999 -0.72)53.68% (0.729 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.83% (-0.616 -0.62)75.17% (0.619 0.62)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.81% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)18.18% (0.152 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.82% (-0.25700000000001 -0.26)49.18% (0.26 0.26)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.08% (-0.876 -0.88)43.92% (0.879 0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.94% (-0.731 -0.73)80.05% (0.733 0.73)
Score Analysis
    USA 58.33%
    Ghana 17.88%
    Draw 23.78%
USADrawGhana
1-0 @ 13.61% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.59% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.43% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.025 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 58.33%
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 7.99% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.93% (-0.118 -0.12)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23.78%
0-1 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.61% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 17.88%

How you voted: USA vs Ghana

USA
64.7%
Draw
13.7%
Ghana
21.6%
51
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2014 11pm
Group Stage
Ghana
1-2
USA
Ayew (82')
Rabiu (30'), Muntari (90+2')
Dempsey (1'), Brooks (86')
> Match Report
Jun 27, 2013 6pm
Group Stage
Ghana
4-1
USA
Acheampong, Assifuah, Ashia
O'Neill
> Match Report
Jun 26, 2010 7.30pm
Round of 16
USA
1-2
Ghana
Donovan (62' pen.)
Gyan (93'), Boateng (5')
rhs 2.0
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15Crystal Palace194872027-720
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> Premier League Full Table


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