MX23RW : Tuesday, January 7 10:18:43| >> :120:4160:4160:
USA national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nippert Stadium
Germany national football team

USA
1 - 3
Germany

Pulisic (27')
Musah (56')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gundogan (39'), Fullkrug (58'), Musiala (61')
Hummels (43')

The Match

Match Report

Goals from Ilkay Gundogan, Niclas Fullkrug and Jamal Musiala help Germany come from behind to secure a 3-1 friendly win over USA in Julian Nagelsmann's first game in charge.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly with the USA.

Form, Standings, Stats

USA

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: USA 4-0 Oman
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies

Germany

All competitions
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.

Result
USADrawGermany
41.06% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01) 24.51% (0.061 0.06) 34.43% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 59.15% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.3% (-0.292 -0.29)43.7% (0.298 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.91% (-0.287 -0.29)66.09% (0.29300000000001 0.29)
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (-0.129 -0.13)21.35% (0.135 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (-0.201 -0.2)54.32% (0.207 0.21)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.21% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)24.79% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.64% (-0.233 -0.23)59.37% (0.24 0.24)
Score Analysis
    USA 41.06%
    Germany 34.43%
    Draw 24.51%
USADrawGermany
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 8.17% (0.073 0.07)
2-0 @ 6.31% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.53% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.25% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 41.06%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.029000000000001 -0.03)
0-0 @ 5.29% (0.069 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.38% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.7% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.29% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: USA vs Germany

USA
27.5%
Draw
17.6%
Germany
54.9%
91
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
1-2
USA
> Match Report
Jun 26, 2014 5pm
Group Stage
USA
0-1
Germany

Gonzalez (37'), Beckerman (62')
Muller (55')
Howedes (11')
> Match Report
Jun 2, 2013 7.30pm
International Friendlies
USA
4-3
Germany
Altidore, Ter Stegen, Dempsey
Westermann, Kruse, Draxler
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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