Friendlies 1
Oct 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nippert Stadium
USA1 - 3Germany
The Match
Match Report
Goals from Ilkay Gundogan, Niclas Fullkrug and Jamal Musiala help Germany come from behind to secure a 3-1 friendly win over USA in Julian Nagelsmann's first game in charge.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly clash between USA and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Saturday's international friendly with the USA.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 4-0 Oman
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
Wednesday, September 13 at 1.30am in International Friendlies
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | USA | 3 | 12 | 7 |
| 2 | Jamaica | 3 | 8 | 7 |
| 3 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 4 | Saint Kitts and Nevis | 3 | -14 | 0 |
Last Game: Germany 2-1 France
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 12 at 8pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Japan | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 2 | Spain | 3 | 6 | 4 |
| 3 | Germany | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Costa Rica | 3 | -8 | 3 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.06%. A win for Germany had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Germany win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Germany would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Germany |
41.06% ( -0.01) | 24.51% ( 0.06) | 34.43% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 59.15% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.3% ( -0.29) | 43.7% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.91% ( -0.29) | 66.09% ( 0.29) |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.65% ( -0.13) | 21.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.68% ( -0.2) | 54.32% ( 0.21) |
| Germany Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.21% ( -0.17) | 24.79% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.64% ( -0.23) | 59.37% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
USA 41.06%
Germany 34.43%
Draw 24.51%
| USA | Draw | Germany |
| 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 41.06% | 1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.7% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.43% |
How you voted: USA vs Germany
USA
27.5%Draw
17.6%Germany
54.9%91
Head to Head
Jun 10, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
1-2
USA
Jun 26, 2014 5pm
Jun 2, 2013 7.30pm
Form Guide
