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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 11am UK
Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium

Kawasaki
1 - 1
Cerezo

Marcinho (36')
Yamada (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bueno (77')
Okuda (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Kawasaki Frontale and Cerezo Osaka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Jubilo Iwata 2-2 Kawasaki
Saturday, July 6 at 10.30am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League

We said: Kawasaki Frontale 1-1 Cerezo Osaka

Kawasaki have drawn each of their last four top-flight matches, while Cerezo Osaka have seen each of their previous three away league games finish all square, and with that in mind, we think that the two sides could play out a draw in Sunday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 40.36%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
40.36% (0.131 0.13) 25.11% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 34.53% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 57.07% (-0.108 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.58% (-0.129 -0.13)46.42% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.3% (-0.122 -0.12)68.7% (0.117 0.12)
Kawasaki Frontale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)22.86% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.4% (0.012999999999998 0.01)56.6% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.152 -0.15)26.02% (0.148 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.20500000000001 -0.21)61.05% (0.2 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Kawasaki Frontale 40.36%
    Cerezo Osaka 34.53%
    Draw 25.1%
Kawasaki FrontaleDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 8.78% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.48% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.29% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 40.36%
1-1 @ 11.81% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.95% (0.031 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.87% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.42% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 34.53%

How you voted: Kawasaki vs Cerezo

Kawasaki Frontale
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Cerezo Osaka
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 7am
Gameweek 8
Cerezo
1-0
Kawasaki
Ceara (70')

Marcinho (55'), Erison (60')
Sep 2, 2023 11am
Gameweek 26
Cerezo
3-0
Kawasaki
Takai (52' og.), Ceara (72' pen.), Watanabe (90+2' pen.)

Takai (90+4')
Mar 18, 2023 7am
Jul 2, 2022 11am
Gameweek 19
Cerezo
2-1
Kawasaki
Funaki (59'), Patric (90+2')
Funaki (61')
Taniguchi (36')
Sasaki (90+1')
Apr 2, 2022 7am
Gameweek 6
Kawasaki
1-4
Cerezo
Marcinho (86')
Inui (13', 28'), Yamada (36', 68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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