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J1 League | Gameweek 25
Aug 7, 2024 at 11am UK
Yanmar Stadium Nagai

Cerezo
0 - 0
Machida Zelvia


Fernandes (49')
FT

Heroki Mochizuki (20'), Soma (27'), Dresevic (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's J1 League clash between Cerezo Osaka and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 2-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, July 24 at 11.15am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 0-2 Reims
Wednesday, July 31 at 11am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Cerezo Osaka 1-2 Machida Zelvia

The last three meetings between Cerezo Osaka and Machida have yielded a combined 11 goals, and we expect another entertaining affair here. That said, we are backing the away side to narrowly edge out their hosts at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Cerezo Osaka had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Cerezo Osaka win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
29.86% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.41% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 43.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 51.11% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)53.36% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)74.9% (0.058000000000007 0.06)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.46% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)32.54% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.93% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)69.07% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.76% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)24.24% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.41% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)58.6% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Cerezo Osaka 29.86%
    Machida Zelvia 43.73%
    Draw 26.41%
Cerezo OsakaDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.012 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.05% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 2.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 29.86%
1-1 @ 12.55% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.021 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.92% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.74%
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.73%

How you voted: Cerezo vs Machida Zelvia

Cerezo Osaka
15.0%
Draw
10.0%
Machida Zelvia
75.0%
20
Head to Head
May 15, 2024 11am
Gameweek 14
Machida Zelvia
2-1
Cerezo
Oh (70'), Duke (90+3')
Hayashi (27'), Sento (80')
Ceara (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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