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J1 League | Gameweek 13
May 14, 2023 at 5.30am UK
Kashima Soccer Stadium

Kashima Antlers
2 - 0
Nagoya Grampus

Suzuki (29'), Chinen (84')
Doi (67'), Sano (88'), Pituca (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Kashima Antlers and Nagoya Grampus.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Kashima Antlers
Sunday, May 7 at 6am in J1 League
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 1-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, May 6 at 11am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 36%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.61%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.

Result
Kashima AntlersDrawNagoya Grampus
36% (-0.285 -0.28) 28.54% (0.085999999999999 0.09) 35.47% (0.2 0.2)
Both teams to score 46.21% (-0.242 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.8% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)60.2% (0.297 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.61% (-0.229 -0.23)80.39% (0.22799999999999 0.23)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15% (-0.333 -0.33)31.85% (0.332 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.71% (-0.383 -0.38)68.29% (0.383 0.38)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.81% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)32.19% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.32% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)68.68% (0.024999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Kashima Antlers 36%
    Nagoya Grampus 35.47%
    Draw 28.53%
Kashima AntlersDrawNagoya Grampus
1-0 @ 11.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 7.61% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.9% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.56% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 36%
1-1 @ 13.29% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.25% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.53%
0-1 @ 11.62% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 35.47%

Head to Head
Jun 26, 2022 10am
gameweek 18
Nagoya Grampus
1-1
Kashima Antlers
Mateus (52' pen.)
Morishita (38')
Nakama (33')
Hirose (36'), Misao (45+2')
Apr 17, 2022 7am
gameweek 9
Kashima Antlers
0-0
Nagoya Grampus

Arthur (34'), Misao (53'), Suzuki (66'), Iwamasa (68')

Uchida (90+5')
May 12, 2021 11am
gameweek 21
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Kashima Antlers

Nakatani (90+4')
Inukai (33'), Sugioka (86')
Mar 21, 2021 7am
gameweek 6
Kashima Antlers
0-1
Nagoya Grampus

Koizumi (56'), Araki (63'), Inukai (66'), Machida (90+2'), Stum (90+5')
Inukai (82')
Inagaki (59')
Yonemoto (90+5')
Oct 31, 2020 8am
gameweek 27
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Nagoya Grampus

Silva (10'), Stum (45+3'), Alano (62')
Alano (68')
Kanazaki (7' pen.), Mateus (90+2')
Naruse (70'), Abe (82')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe38219861362572
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima381911872432968
3Machida Zelvia381991054342066
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka381812849351466
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers381811960411965
6Tokyo Verdy381414105151056
7FC Tokyo38159145351254
8Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki381313126657952
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama38157166162-152
10Cerezo OsakaCerezo381313124348-552
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus38155184447-350
12Avispa Fukuoka381214123338-550
13Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa381212144945448
14Kyoto Sanga381211154355-1247
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare38129175358-545
16Albirex Niigata381012164459-1542
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol38914153951-1241
18Jubilo Iwata38108204768-2138
19Consadole SapporoConsadole38910194366-2337
20Sagan Tosu38105234868-2035


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