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J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Gamba Osaka

Inagaki (67')
Izumi (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dawhan (33'), Alano (39'), Ishige (56'), Usami (78'), Fukuoka (87'), Kurokawa (90+5')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
53.56% (3.645 3.65) 25.67% (-2.014 -2.01) 20.77% (-1.635 -1.64)
Both teams to score 45.11% (3.209 3.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.92% (5.216 5.22)57.08% (-5.22 -5.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.04% (3.994 3.99)77.96% (-3.998 -4)
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.62% (3.864 3.86)21.38% (-3.866 -3.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.64% (5.633 5.63)54.36% (-5.636 -5.64)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.38% (1.326 1.33)42.62% (-1.329 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.03% (1.11 1.11)78.97% (-1.113 -1.11)
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 53.55%
    Gamba Osaka 20.77%
    Draw 25.66%
Nagoya GrampusDrawGamba Osaka
1-0 @ 14.05% (-1.22 -1.22)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.33 0.33)
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.605 0.6)
3-0 @ 5.58% (0.753 0.75)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.79 0.79)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.491 0.49)
3-2 @ 2.03% (0.398 0.4)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.47 0.47)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 53.55%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.57 -0.57)
0-0 @ 9.11% (-1.979 -1.98)
2-2 @ 3.94% (0.39 0.39)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 7.77% (-1.351 -1.35)
1-2 @ 5.11% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.31% (-0.436 -0.44)
1-3 @ 1.45% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.12% (0.147 0.15)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.086 -0.09)
Other @ 1.06%
Total : 20.77%

How you voted: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka

Nagoya Grampus
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Gamba Osaka
0.0%
5
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 10am
gameweek 27
Nagoya Grampus
0-2
Gamba Osaka
Patric (3'), Suzuki (87')
Meshino (27')
Apr 2, 2022 6am
gameweek 6
Gamba Osaka
3-1
Nagoya Grampus
Patric (26'), Miyahara (54' og.), Kurokawa (62')
Sento (83')
Nov 20, 2021 5am
gameweek 36
Gamba Osaka
1-3
Nagoya Grampus
Patric (53')
Kurata (30'), Yanagisawa (54'), Patric (85')
Swierczok (8', 29'), Kakitani (22')
Apr 22, 2021 11.30am
gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
2-0
Gamba Osaka
Yamasaki (29'), Soma (55')
Yamasaki (14')

Shoji (62'), Usami (88')
Mar 6, 2021 7am
gameweek 11
Nagoya Grampus
1-0
Gamba Osaka
Soma (82')
Naruse (58')

Kaneko (18')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Machida Zelvia17112428151335
2Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers17112430191135
3Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka179441712531
4Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1793525131230
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima1668228151326
6FC Tokyo177552725226
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus178272019126
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa177462723425
9Cerezo OsakaCerezo176742319425
10Avispa Fukuoka176741717025
11Tokyo Verdy175932626024
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol175751723-622
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama155552421320
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki175572525020
15Albirex Niigata175482226-419
16Jubilo Iwata175392226-418
17Sagan Tosu1642102128-714
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare173592332-914
19Kyoto Sanga1725101331-1811
20Consadole SapporoConsadole1725101636-2011


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