J1 League | Gameweek 12
May 6, 2023 at 11am UK
Nagoya Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus1 - 0Gamba Osaka
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nagoya Grampus 2-2 Vissel Kobe
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Wednesday, May 3 at 7am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
15
Last Game: Gamba Osaka 1-2 Cerezo
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Wednesday, May 3 at 6am in J1 League
Goals
for
for
12
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 53.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 20.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 0-1 (7.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.
Result | ||
Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
53.56% ( 3.65) | 25.67% ( -2.01) | 20.77% ( -1.64) |
Both teams to score 45.11% ( 3.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.92% ( 5.22) | 57.08% ( -5.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.04% ( 3.99) | 77.96% ( -4) |
Nagoya Grampus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.62% ( 3.86) | 21.38% ( -3.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.64% ( 5.63) | 54.36% ( -5.64) |
Gamba Osaka Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.38% ( 1.33) | 42.62% ( -1.33) |